theorem
stoppedPathShift_eq_shiftPath_on_eq
{S : Type u_1}
(T : (ℕ → S) → ℕ)
(n : ℕ)
(ω : ℕ → S)
(h : T ω = n)
:
On the event {T ω = n}, the stopping-time shift coincides with the fixed shift by
n: stoppedPathShift T ω = shiftPath n ω.
theorem
ae_eq_of_ae_eq_restrict_fibers
{Ω : Type u_1}
{m0 : MeasurableSpace Ω}
(T : Ω → ℕ)
(μ : MeasureTheory.Measure Ω)
(f g : Ω → ℝ)
(hT_meas : ∀ (n : ℕ), MeasurableSet {ω : Ω | T ω = n})
(h : ∀ (n : ℕ), f =ᵐ[μ.restrict {ω : Ω | T ω = n}] g)
:
If f =ᵐ g on each fiber {T = n} of an ℕ-valued measurable function T, then
f =ᵐ g on the whole space.
theorem
strong_markov_chain
(S : Type u_1)
[MeasurableSpace S]
[StandardBorelSpace S]
[Nonempty S]
(μ : MeasureTheory.Measure S)
[MeasureTheory.IsFiniteMeasure μ]
(κ : ProbabilityTheory.Kernel S S)
[ProbabilityTheory.IsMarkovKernel κ]
(T : (ℕ → S) → ℕ)
(hT : MeasureTheory.IsStoppingTime (pathFiltration S) fun (ω : ℕ → S) => ↑(T ω))
(Y : ℕ → (ℕ → S) → ℝ)
(hY_meas : ∀ (n : ℕ), Measurable (Y n))
(hY_bdd : ∃ (C : ℝ), ∀ (n : ℕ) (ω : ℕ → S), |Y n ω| ≤ C)
:
have P_μ := MarkovChainPathMeasure S μ κ;
P_μ[fun (ω : ℕ → S) => Y (T ω) (stoppedPathShift T ω) | hT.measurableSpace] =ᵐ[P_μ] fun (ω : ℕ → S) =>
markovExpectation S κ (Y (T ω)) (ω (T ω))
Strong Markov property for Markov chains (Lecture 31). For a Markov chain with
initial distribution μ and transition kernel κ on a standard Borel state space S,
and a bounded measurable time-indexed functional Y_n, the conditional expectation of
Y_T ∘ θ_T given the stopping-time σ-algebra ℱ_T equals E_{X_T} Y_T. This is the
discrete-time analogue of E_μ(Y_N ∘ θ_N | ℱ_N) = E_{X_N} Y_N.