Documentation

Atlas.TheoryOfProbability.code.StrongMarkovChain

def stoppedPathShift {S : Type u_1} (T : (S)) :
(S)S

Shift a path ω : ℕ → S by the stopping time T ω: the resulting path at index k is ω (T ω + k).

Instances For
    theorem stoppedPathShift_eq_shiftPath_on_eq {S : Type u_1} (T : (S)) (n : ) (ω : S) (h : T ω = n) :

    On the event {T ω = n}, the stopping-time shift coincides with the fixed shift by n: stoppedPathShift T ω = shiftPath n ω.

    theorem ae_eq_of_ae_eq_restrict_fibers {Ω : Type u_1} {m0 : MeasurableSpace Ω} (T : Ω) (μ : MeasureTheory.Measure Ω) (f g : Ω) (hT_meas : ∀ (n : ), MeasurableSet {ω : Ω | T ω = n}) (h : ∀ (n : ), f =ᵐ[μ.restrict {ω : Ω | T ω = n}] g) :
    f =ᵐ[μ] g

    If f =ᵐ g on each fiber {T = n} of an -valued measurable function T, then f =ᵐ g on the whole space.

    theorem strong_markov_chain (S : Type u_1) [MeasurableSpace S] [StandardBorelSpace S] [Nonempty S] (μ : MeasureTheory.Measure S) [MeasureTheory.IsFiniteMeasure μ] (κ : ProbabilityTheory.Kernel S S) [ProbabilityTheory.IsMarkovKernel κ] (T : (S)) (hT : MeasureTheory.IsStoppingTime (pathFiltration S) fun (ω : S) => (T ω)) (Y : (S)) (hY_meas : ∀ (n : ), Measurable (Y n)) (hY_bdd : ∃ (C : ), ∀ (n : ) (ω : S), |Y n ω| C) :
    have P_μ := MarkovChainPathMeasure S μ κ; P_μ[fun (ω : S) => Y (T ω) (stoppedPathShift T ω) | hT.measurableSpace] =ᵐ[P_μ] fun (ω : S) => markovExpectation S κ (Y (T ω)) (ω (T ω))

    Strong Markov property for Markov chains (Lecture 31). For a Markov chain with initial distribution μ and transition kernel κ on a standard Borel state space S, and a bounded measurable time-indexed functional Y_n, the conditional expectation of Y_T ∘ θ_T given the stopping-time σ-algebra ℱ_T equals E_{X_T} Y_T. This is the discrete-time analogue of E_μ(Y_N ∘ θ_N | ℱ_N) = E_{X_N} Y_N.