The random walk drifts to +∞: almost surely Sₙ → +∞ as n → ∞.
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The random walk drifts to -∞: almost surely Sₙ → -∞ as n → ∞.
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The random walk oscillates: almost surely limsup Sₙ = +∞ and liminf Sₙ = -∞.
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def
ConvergesFinite
{Ω : Type u_1}
[MeasurableSpace Ω]
(μ : MeasureTheory.Measure Ω)
(X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ)
:
The random walk converges to a finite limit: almost surely there exists l ∈ ℝ
with Sₙ → l. In the i.i.d. dichotomy this corresponds to the degenerate case where
each Xᵢ = 0.
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theorem
exists_prob_one_of_cover
{Ω : Type u_1}
[MeasurableSpace Ω]
{μ : MeasureTheory.Measure Ω}
[MeasureTheory.IsProbabilityMeasure μ]
{E₁ E₂ E₃ E₄ : Set Ω}
(h_cover : μ (E₁ ∪ E₂ ∪ E₃ ∪ E₄)ᶜ = 0)
(h1 : μ E₁ = 0 ∨ μ E₁ = 1)
(h2 : μ E₂ = 0 ∨ μ E₂ = 1)
(h3 : μ E₃ = 0 ∨ μ E₃ = 1)
(h4 : μ E₄ = 0 ∨ μ E₄ = 1)
:
Combinatorial lemma: if four events E₁, E₂, E₃, E₄ cover the probability space modulo
a null set, and each has probability either 0 or 1, then at least one of them has
probability 1. This is the core dichotomy-selection step in the random-walk dichotomy proof.