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Atlas.TheoryOfProbability.code.DomainAttraction

Convolution of two measures on : the pushforward of the product measure μ.prod ν under the addition map (x, y) ↦ x + y.

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    The n-fold convolution power of a measure ν on . By convention convPow ν 0 is the Dirac mass at 0 and convPow ν (n+1) = (convPow ν n) ∗ ν.

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      L : ℝ → ℝ is slowly varying (at infinity) if it is positive on (0, ∞) and L(cx) / L(x) → 1 as x → ∞ for every c > 0.

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        f is regularly varying with index ρ if it can be written as f x = x^ρ · L x eventually as x → ∞, where L is slowly varying.

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          The right tail probability μ((x, ∞)) as a real number.

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            The left tail probability μ((-∞, -x]) as a real number.

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              The two-sided tail μ(|X| > x) written as the sum of the right and left tails.

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                A probability measure μ on is stable with index α ∈ (0, 2] if for every n > 0 there exist constants aₙ > 0 and bₙ such that the n-fold convolution μ * μ * ⋯ * μ equals the pushforward of μ under the affine map x ↦ aₙ x + bₙ.

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                  A measure μ on is nondegenerate if it is not a point mass δ_a for any a.

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                    The probability measure μ is in the domain of attraction of G if there exist sequences of normalizing constants a n > 0 and centering constants b n such that the law of (S_n - b n) / a n (where S_n has law μ^{*n}) converges weakly to G, expressed here as integration against arbitrary bounded continuous functions.

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                      μ has tail balance with parameter p ∈ [0, 1] if the ratio of the right tail to the combined two-sided tail tends to p as x → ∞, i.e. P(X > x) / P(|X| > x) → p.

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                        If μ lies in the domain of attraction of a nondegenerate probability measure G, then G must be a stable law (with some index α ∈ (0, 2]).

                        μ is in the domain of attraction of index α if there exists a stable law G of index α such that μ is in the domain of attraction of G.

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                          For α ∈ (0, 2), the tail conditions (regular variation of index for the combined tail and existence of a tail balance parameter) are sufficient for μ to lie in the domain of attraction of a stable law of index α.

                          Converse direction: if μ is in the domain of attraction of a stable law of index α ∈ (0, 2), then the combined tail P(|X| > x) is regularly varying of index and the right/combined tail ratio has a limit (tail balance).

                          Domain of attraction characterization for α < 2. For 0 < α < 2, μ is in the domain of attraction of a stable law of index α if and only if combinedTail μ is regularly varying with index and the right/combined tail ratio has a limit.

                          Domain of attraction characterization for α = 2 (Gaussian case). For a stable law G of index 2 (Gaussian), μ lies in the domain of attraction of G if and only if the truncated second-moment function x ↦ ∫_{[-x, x]} y^2 dμ(y) is slowly varying.

                          Theorem (Domain of attraction to stable random variable). Top-level wrapper: for 0 < α < 2, μ is in the domain of attraction of a stable law of index α iff its combined tail is regularly varying of index and tail balance holds.